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Wednesday June 16, 2021

NBA PLAYOFFS

ATLANTA +6.5 AT PHILADELPHIA -6.5

LOS ANGELES +7 AT UTAH -7

TRIPLE HEADER TONIGHT!

2 SIDES AND A TOTAL

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Tuesday June 15, 2021

NBA PLAYOFFS

MILWAUKEE BUCKS -2.5 at BROOKLYN NETS +2.5

Both teams held serve at home.

Brooklyn role players were dominant in Games 1 and 2.  Limiting both Giannis and Middleton

Milwaukee used physical defense in Games 3 and 4

ADVANTAGES: MILWAUKEE  – Point Guard , *Bench   BROOKLYN – Front Court, Home Court

*The injuries to Kyrie Irving and James Harden are significant.  Throughout every series this year, injury has been a key factor.  Harden could play limited minutes tonight.

  • Harden is now QUESTIONABLE. Irving is OUT.  DiVincenzo is OUT

  • The Nets played most of the season without the so-called Big 3.  Durant can win this game without Harden or Irving.  Durant has the ability to drive and pass.  Joe Harris will still get open 3s.

  • Blake Griffin needs to be in PLUS of +/- stat.  His defense is effective on Giannis’ drives. Mike James is also an X factor.  He plays with confidence at home.  He was a PLUS 30 in Game 2.

  • The LINE was MILWAUKEE -4 this morning.  We lost value as news leaked about Harden trying to play.  If he plays, we need him to be better than Embiid.  He played hurt and hurt his team.  Steve Nash is a first year coach, however he will not play Harden if he can’t perform.

BET BROOKLYN NETS +2.5

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Monday June 14, 2021

NBA PLAYOFFS
 

UTAH JAZZ +5 at LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS -5

Both Utah and LA were 21-15 on road this regular season. That’s just under 60% win rate

Series is 2-1 – neither team has broken serve. Oddsmakers don’t expect it tonight

 

ADVANTAGES: UTAH – *Guards, Center, *Bench   LOS ANGELES – Forwards, Home Court

*The injuries to Mike Conley and Donovan Mitchell are significant.  Throughout every series this year, injury has been a key factor.  The Nets are seeing just how fragile a depth chart can be in playoffs.

  • Conley is QUESTIONABLE. Mitchell will start but not 100. Conley would be on minutes restriction.

  • Normally the Guard position gives Utah solid depth.  Clarkson is NBA 6th Man of Year, Ingles Runner Up. If this advantage flips, LA beats the brakes off Utah because the Jazz do not get much scoring from Center position.  Gobert is 3 time DPOY but he is not going off for 40 on offense.

  • Mitchell missed time for a right ankle sprain.  This is the same ankle.  His lateral movement, especially in the 3rd and 4th quarter could and most likely will be compromised somewhat.  It’s our understanding, Conley is about 80%.  He would not play if this was a regular season game.

  • The LINE is LA -5 for these reasons.  This game will be much closer than GM3.  The line is set here to scare off Clipper money.  This morning, the majority of the money switched to Utah.  The public believes this is too many points as reports are saying Mitchell is starting.  Game will be won in the 4th by the home team, Los Angeles Clippers 8-10 points.

BET LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS -5

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